ESSAYS
A few ideas you might want to catch -
they tend to change how the future unfolds.
- May 2026
Every decision is the death of a thousand possibilities
On path dependency and all the forks ahead.
8 min - May 2026
Lessons in Probability from the Serengeti
On the universal generator beneath everything.
8 min - Apr 2026
The Geometry of Luck
On path-dependent outcomes, luck surface area and the conversion of randomness into result.
10 min - Apr 2026
The Room with the Revolver and other Non-Ergodic Systems
On ergodicity, time averages and the lie hiding inside expected value.
6 min - Mar 2026
Until the God speaks - Protean Uncertainty
Why the future does not just hide from us.
6 min - Mar 2026
Every success has siblings and often you only meet one
An introduction to Distributional Thinking
9 min - Feb 2026
Why dying is often hard, but sometimes easy
On decision-making under unknown time horizons.
7 min
